Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1294.207351 1474.047802 1674.877061 1916.687046 2201.149122 2526.618211 2929.276811
2025-08-17 1039.836672 1280.691412 1576.157561 1969.272384 2484.596464 3145.546789 4071.184832
2025-08-24 894.556278 1160.202038 1507.244728 2001.814632 2701.723749 3677.348979 5177.669309
2025-08-31 789.892066 1066.579648 1446.405600 2018.390956 2880.300231 4168.647215 6316.317771
2025-09-07 718.129010 1003.601512 1412.551976 2058.834476 3088.667601 4728.799627 7676.006040
2025-09-14 634.163993 910.585152 1320.182602 1993.086089 3115.369716 4999.375334 8607.411575
2025-09-21 566.420044 832.751201 1239.276049 1930.520216 3131.635560 5247.214650 9545.924792
2025-09-28 507.613219 761.779402 1159.923465 1857.809194 3115.687327 5429.734975 10395.413866
2025-10-05 485.949153 746.477333 1166.844257 1929.969932 3365.474130 6145.761166 12517.545670
2025-10-12 459.356083 720.150382 1152.024245 1960.805167 3541.681815 6750.488634 14567.617015
2025-10-19 432.612698 690.786445 1128.495696 1971.828347 3679.681843 7301.708319 16654.571800
2025-10-26 407.828962 662.344766 1103.370520 1975.982953 3803.294375 7844.866026 18890.089237
2025-11-02 392.955051 650.328368 1107.305405 2038.964445 4065.714038 8770.883447 22516.126305
2025-11-09 378.151443 637.136652 1107.798364 2095.445496 4325.260582 9755.613349 26722.309337
2025-11-16 361.983052 619.906857 1098.704990 2130.486234 4541.854481 10685.610376 31164.414160
2025-11-23 345.273795 600.167600 1082.668580 2148.337751 4720.711473 11561.102901 35832.095929
2025-11-30 332.768716 587.258215 1078.687642 2191.901195 4970.748046 12700.210272 42026.667452
2025-12-07 309.700238 552.206884 1026.907396 2121.087036 4916.653437 12941.543123 44878.243194
2025-12-14 289.010086 520.331873 978.980983 2053.731059 4861.239776 13168.655863 47808.173330
2025-12-21 269.032472 488.534434 928.726200 1975.491559 4764.834679 13248.103792 50165.929929
2025-12-28 264.490144 487.272825 942.714434 2053.138778 5114.724574 14879.294826 60700.694584
2026-01-04 256.355825 478.082188 938.809478 2086.330897 5344.495694 16176.231270 70539.571042
2026-01-11 247.039329 465.777494 927.010873 2098.198411 5513.961190 17313.388138 80405.263396